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Evaluating Tanzania’s economic transformation through MEL

Tanzania economic transformation through MEL
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Tanzania’s economic transformation, characterized by its transition from Ujamaa socialism to a vibrant market-oriented economy, serves as a compelling case study in the importance of Monitoring, Evaluation, and Learning (MEL) systems. 

Over decades, Tanzania has implemented significant reforms to liberalize its economy, attract investment, and foster sustainable growth. 

This article explores how MEL frameworks played a pivotal role in measuring reform success and guiding the country’s transition.

From Ujamaa to market liberalization: a historical context

Tanzania’s journey began in the 1960s with Ujamaa socialism under the leadership of Julius Nyerere. While Ujamaa fostered a sense of national unity and emphasized self-reliance, it also led to declining agricultural productivity, widespread shortages, and economic stagnation by the mid-1980s. 

By 1986, the government launched the Economic Recovery Program (ERP), marking a critical shift toward liberalization.

Key reforms included:

  • Deregulating prices, production, and marketing controls.
  • Liberalizing trade and foreign exchange.
  • Privatizing state-owned enterprises (parastatals).
  • Strengthening monetary policies and public financial management.

MEL systems were instrumental in tracking the impact of these reforms, identifying bottlenecks, and ensuring that progress aligned with broader developmental goals. However, it raises an intriguing question: did Tanzania’s leaders explicitly recognize these as MEL practices, or were they unknowingly implementing MEL principles through their reform strategies?

Role of MEL in economic transformation

Measuring policy impact

MEL frameworks enabled policymakers to assess the effectiveness of reforms, particularly in areas such as fiscal management and trade liberalization. 

However, it remains a question whether these frameworks were consciously adopted by policymakers or if these practices were embedded without explicit recognition of their MEL-related nature. 

For instance, the introduction of the Tanzania Revenue Authority (TRA) in the mid-1990s was closely monitored to evaluate its impact on increasing tax-to-GDP ratios. 

By 2008, MEL data showed a 6% increase in revenue, highlighting the success of reforms in stabilizing public finances.

Monitoring financial sector reforms

The restructuring of Tanzania’s financial sector was a cornerstone of its transition. 

MEL systems tracked key performance indicators (KPIs) such as credit growth to the private sector, non-performing loan ratios, and financial inclusion metrics. Reports from the IMF highlighted how monitoring tools revealed substantial progress, including a 30-40% annual growth in credit to the private sector by the 2000s. 

It might be interesting to consider whether these tools were deliberately designed as part of an overarching MEL strategy or coincidental outcomes of broader economic reforms.

Evaluating privatization of parastatals

The privatization of state-owned enterprises was one of the most significant and controversial reforms. MEL tools were used to assess outcomes such as operational efficiency, financial performance, and the socio-economic impact on workers. 

It remains an open question whether this use of MEL tools was intentional, reflecting a deliberate strategy, or whether it emerged organically as an outcome of broader reform processes. 

While the reform faced initial resistance, MEL systems demonstrated that privatized entities in manufacturing and agriculture sectors significantly improved their output and profitability.

Frameworks for measuring reform success

Results-based management (RBM)

RBM was integral in setting clear objectives for economic reforms and aligning efforts across multiple sectors. 

It provided a structured approach to planning and implementing reforms, ensuring that each step was driven by specific, measurable, achievable, relevant, and time-bound (SMART) objectives. 

For example, the Medium-Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) linked public spending to measurable outcomes, ensuring accountability in resource allocation. 

By aligning financial resources with strategic priorities, MTEF facilitated consistent tracking of progress and allowed for the identification of areas requiring adjustment. 

This comprehensive approach underscored the importance of transparency and regular feedback in achieving reform goals.

Public financial management reform program (PFMRP)

This framework emphasized fiscal discipline, revenue mobilization, and effective spending. 

By fostering a culture of accountability and results-oriented governance, it laid the groundwork for more sustainable financial management practices. 

Regular evaluations using MEL principles identified inefficiencies, such as delays in fund disbursement and overspending in non-priority areas, and informed iterative improvements in cash budgeting and treasury management. 

This iterative approach also enabled better forecasting of revenue streams and facilitated targeted interventions to enhance fiscal performance, making the framework a cornerstone of Tanzania’s economic reforms.

Stakeholder engagement models

Recognizing the importance of participatory approaches, Tanzania integrated stakeholder engagement into its MEL processes. 

By involving diverse actors, the country ensured that policies and reforms were not only inclusive but also better informed by ground-level realities. 

Engaging local governments facilitated the alignment of national strategies with regional priorities, while collaboration with development partners provided technical expertise and additional resources. 

Civil society involvement ensured that marginalized groups had a voice, promoting equity and accountability in the reform process. 

This holistic approach enabled the identification of shared objectives and fostered a sense of ownership among stakeholders, which was crucial for the sustainability of reforms.

Poverty reduction strategy papers (PRSPs)

As part of the Highly Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) initiative, Tanzania’s PRSPs incorporated MEL frameworks to measure progress in poverty reduction. 

These frameworks not only tracked investments in health, education, and infrastructure but also provided actionable insights on the effectiveness of these expenditures. 

They revealed significant improvements in human development indices, including increased literacy rates, enhanced access to primary healthcare, and better infrastructure connectivity. 

Furthermore, the iterative use of MEL allowed policymakers to recalibrate strategies based on real-time data, ensuring that resources were channelled to areas with the highest impact on poverty reduction. 

This proactive approach helped Tanzania achieve more targeted and sustainable outcomes.

Lessons learned and best practices

Adaptive management

The use of MEL allowed Tanzania to adapt its policies in response to emerging challenges. 

For instance, the gradual liberalization of exchange rates was closely monitored to ensure market stability while reducing inflation. 

This proactive monitoring provided critical data on currency fluctuations and external shocks, enabling timely interventions to prevent economic disruptions. 

Additionally, MEL frameworks facilitated dialogue among stakeholders, ensuring that exchange rate adjustments aligned with broader macroeconomic goals. 

This iterative approach highlighted the value of MEL in fostering agility and responsiveness in policy implementation.

Data-driven decision-making

Tanzania’s experience highlights the importance of robust data systems. 

This raises an important question: were these data systems a deliberate MEL initiative designed to support Tanzania’s economic reforms, or were they an incidental development that emerged alongside broader policy changes? 

The integration of the Integrated Financial Management System (IFMS) and automated tax collection mechanisms were transformative in enhancing transparency and efficiency.

Emphasizing capacity building

Strengthening institutional capacity was key to implementing and sustaining MEL systems. Investments in training and technology ensured that stakeholders could effectively collect, analyze, and use data to drive reforms. 

This capacity-building effort extended to creating specialized training programs for government officials, fostering collaboration between local and international experts, and deploying user-friendly digital tools tailored to Tanzania’s unique challenges. 

By prioritizing continuous learning and innovation, these investments not only enhanced data accuracy but also empowered stakeholders to identify emerging trends, address systemic bottlenecks, and sustain long-term progress in economic reforms.

Tanzania’s economic transformation underscores the critical role of MEL in guiding and assessing reforms. 

By leveraging robust monitoring and evaluation frameworks, Tanzania navigated complex challenges, achieved macroeconomic stability, and laid the groundwork for sustained growth. 

The country’s experience serves as a model for other nations seeking to implement systemic reforms and underscores the transformative potential of MEL in fostering economic resilience and development.

Read more about How Tanzania’s Robust Tax Framework Powers National Progress

 

Pantaleon Shoki is a skilled MEL professional with a BA in Economics and an MA in Monitoring and Evaluation. He is currently pursuing a Ph.D. in Monitoring, Measurement, and Evaluation, bringing deep expertise to the field. Mr. Shoki’s social sector experience includes data analysis, research design, and reporting, with practical consultancy skills enhanced by World Bank IDF training. This training has positioned him as a key voice in the field, with research interests in MEL systems, financial sustainability, and knowledge management. Mr. Shoki’s dedication reflects his tireless effort to advance MEL practices across various sectors.

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